Competition Causes a Borrowers Market
Article courtesy of National Real Estate Investor.
In April, Brazos Fund, L.P., an opportunity fund in which BlackRock Asset
Investors of New York is a 50% partner, completed its first transaction,
the purchase of $150 million in loans and real estate secured by 2,405
units in seven multifamily properties.
One month earlier, MIG Residential Real Estate Investment Trust made its
first acquisition, a 186-unit apartment complex in Atlanta. The purchase
price wasn't disclosed.
In January, McCaslin Development secured a $16.1 million construction loan
from Guaranty Federal Bank to build Riverhill Apartments in Grand Prairie,
Texas.
And who says multifamily has lost its shine? Actually, the asset class is
in a transition period. Still liked by investors and lenders, the field is
awash in capital. Unfortunately, despite all the potential financing the
good deals may be a thing of the past and all that capital may be a
hindrance as some lenders start to pull back due to a congested playing
field and as yields continue to pitch downward.
"While some lenders are busy, the competition is such that a lot of capital
is chasing really too few deals at this point in time," observes Bronwyn
Morgan, director of multifamily housing for the Mortgage Bankers
Association in Washington, D.C.
According to Scott P. Ledbetter, president of Memphis-based SPL Corp. and
chairman and CEO of LEDIC Management Group: "There will continue to be too
much capital chasing too few deals as long as multifamily real estate
remains in favor. This will change ž and the change in inevitable ž when
the balance of supply and demand shifts and forces downward pressure on
occupancies and then on rents. Most financial institutions will remain
alert to future signs of change, but history has shown that obvious trends
escape just enough of the developers and lenders to cause a major down
cycle due to overbuilding.
"A new potential threat to stability in this development cycle is the
introduction of apartment REITs into the supply vs. demand equation. For
example, with rising interest rates, falling cap rates and a diminishing
supply of Class-A quality properties for sale, REITs have turned their
attention to development to meet yield requirements." SPL Corp. is an
investment brokerage and market research firm specializing in apartments.
LEDIC Management Group is the property management affiliate of SPL Corp.
and manages over 20,000 multifamily units in the Southeast, including
Memphis and Nashville, Tenn., Atlanta, Charleston, S.C., and Jackson, Miss.
"It's a borrower's market," says Dave Henry, vice president of America's
Origination at GE Capital Commercial Real Estate in Stamford, Conn. "We are
seeing increased competition from all sources. As a result, underwriting
standards have started to relax, which we hate to see."
The company recognizes the difficulty in meeting standards in the crowded
marketplace but expects to increase its total business slightly in 1995 and
increase the amount of multifamily. "We would like to target 45% of our
loan portfolio to be multifamily," Henry says. "If anything we are more
aggressive with multifamily."
On the other hand, Berkshire Investment Advisors, a Boston-based
institutional money manager, will be less aggressive with regard to
multifamily, especially with pension plans.
"Basically, we decided to focus our business on looking for private money
sources and staying away from the pension area, which we had originally
envisioned as the way to go," says Ross Keeler, president.
Spreads that are being offered in the marketplace have changed considerably
from just a year ago. "The spreads have narrowed tremendously as a great
deal of capital has come into the market," Keeler says.
"Everybody is back," exclaims Shekar Narasimhan, president of Washington
Mortgage Co. based in Vienna, Va. "All the lenders that left the business
are back. Insurance companies, savings and loans, pension funds, Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac are all back."
The result of all this, Narasimhan says, is that spreads have continued to
tighten even though interest rates have dropped.
Reportedly, apartment loans now are being underwritten at 120 debt cover
again. The 120 debt cover is the amount that the net operating income has
to cover the debt service payment. The standard in the industry for the
past 31_2 years has been 125, which means there is a reduction in what the
market perceives as necessary to make a conservative, investment-grade
loan.
Gaye Beasley, president of Bethesda, Md.-based Patrician Mortgage, observes
the same disquieting trends as Narasimhan. "Last year was extraordinarily
competitive. This year the competition for standard apartment properties
will be pretty fierce."
Beasley says she believes the competitive marketplace will hurt a lot of
mortgage companies, especially those that don't have access to a conduit or
a program like Freddie Mac.
Jeffrey A. Davis, president of Chicago-based Cambridge Realty Capital Ltd.,
says he thinks the competition will continue for awhile, but not with the
same fervor. He says that a lot of investors and lenders had not
diversified their product types, but that now they are starting to do so.
Cambridge Realty Capital Ltd. and its two affiliated companies, Cambridge
Realty Capital of Illinois and Stanford Properties Ltd., combine to form an
integrated real estate organization.
Neil Cullen, executive vice president with AMI Capital Inc., based in
Bethesda, Md., agrees with Beasley. "There are more sources of capital in
the marketplace. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, insurance companies, big banks,
some thrifts and credit companies are all heavily interested in financing
apartments."
Cullen says that his company will be smarter and compete more effectively
to combat the competition in the marketplace, which he predicts will last
through 1995 and the foreseeable future. "We have new programs for
financing tax-exempt and low income housing tax credit (LIHC) properties,
mobile home parks, whole loan purchases and senior housing. We will also
put more emphasis on FHA financing and our securitized sources," he says.
The Reston, Va.-based Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (Freddie Mac) came
back into the multifamily mortgage business on a full-time basis last year.
Mitchell Kiffe, director of multifamily underwriting, notes, "We bought
about a billion dollars of multifamily mortgages in 1994 and we expect to
target $1.5 billion in 1995."
Kiffe says Freddie Mac's main focus is its conventional cash program for
the refinancing of acquisitions or the moderate rehabilitation of quality
apartment communities.
At the Federal National Mortgage Association in Washington, D.C., about $5
billion worth of business was done on the equity side of the multifamily
asset class.
This year the company is aiming for $6 billion. "It is not going to be
easy, given the slowness of the general market in the first quarter," says
Thomas White, a senior vice president at Fannie Mae, "but we have an awful
lot of major swap transactions in process and a lot of people are talking
to us right now about different products."
According to a recent report from Marcus & Millichap, as the second quarter
of 1995 unfolds, there are some significant trends and factors investors
should note:
Pension funds have replaced REITs as the most aggressive institutional
purchaser of investment real estate.
Lender foreclosure activity for the last 12 months is less than the
previous 12 month period.
The increase in interest rates has moderated the increase in prices of
investment real estate.
Private investors are coming off the sidelines, particularly in Southern
California.
Lender properties are attracting an increasing amount of investor
interest.
The gap between buyer and seller expectations has widened since rents and
values have increased.
1995 will be a good year to buy quality properties in stable to improving
areas, and to sell properties in marginal or declining areas.
According to the report, the nation's investment real estate reflects a
positive outlook and sets the stage for a promising second quarter.
by Steve Bergsman
|